Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.933038 1.090488 1.259977 1.455249 1.673251 1.908383 2.180389
2025-06-01 0.659756 0.875420 1.129902 1.448598 1.833080 2.277973 2.827448
2025-06-08 0.477226 0.715059 1.020736 1.432963 1.964171 2.615197 3.461914
2025-06-15 0.381980 0.637792 0.991863 1.499687 2.189609 3.073753 4.269493
2025-06-22 0.301966 0.560380 0.944172 1.526610 2.355971 3.460697 5.005049
2025-06-29 0.230371 0.476936 0.870118 1.500558 2.439084 3.734683 5.601044
2025-07-06 0.186385 0.426791 0.835435 1.522759 2.585213 4.095969 6.326168
2025-07-13 0.151748 0.383929 0.803697 1.542090 2.723503 4.448736 7.051368
2025-07-20 0.125563 0.350092 0.780533 1.569716 2.872370 4.820251 7.815274
2025-07-27 0.102957 0.317224 0.752874 1.584580 2.999001 5.161782 8.546801
2025-08-03 0.078930 0.273546 0.696812 1.542095 3.027147 5.353057 9.062663
2025-08-10 0.063463 0.245390 0.665917 1.539651 3.118332 5.641762 9.730610
2025-08-17 0.047305 0.209888 0.614629 1.495875 3.140693 5.831699 10.270757
2025-08-24 0.037700 0.189460 0.592604 1.506020 3.257652 6.178681 11.067753
2025-08-31 0.029026 0.167733 0.563057 1.497126 3.339203 6.471549 11.791968
2025-09-07 0.025386 0.162318 0.572331 1.569350 3.573020 7.024738 12.944931
2025-09-14 0.020722 0.150311 0.562242 1.598626 3.727833 7.451433 13.909765
2025-09-21 0.015324 0.131274 0.528877 1.572208 3.773878 7.694447 14.585654
2025-09-28 0.012287 0.121166 0.518240 1.595480 3.916616 8.107880 15.550329
2025-10-05 0.009758 0.111609 0.506987 1.615632 4.053611 8.515588 16.516745
2025-10-12 0.007846 0.103934 0.499765 1.644321 4.208803 8.960221 17.556239
2025-10-19 0.006111 0.095460 0.487834 1.659751 4.337118 9.360810 18.532343
2025-10-26 0.004127 0.081816 0.454233 1.615712 4.337967 9.530628 19.122594